UK House prices recovering but crisis not over

The BBC reports:
UK house prices have now recovered to the same level as a year ago, according to the latest figures from the Nationwide.

The average price of a home last month rose by 0.9% to £161,816, almost identical to September 2008.

The most intense phase of the recession and financial crisis has probably passed,” said Martin Gahbauer, the Nationwide’s chief economist.

“However, given that the housing market still faces considerable headwinds in the form of high unemployment, restrictive credit conditions and an impending withdrawal of the stamp duty holiday, it would be surprising to see house prices continuing to increase at the very strong rate seen in recent months,” he added.

David Smith, of property consultancy Carter Jonas said
“We have to expect more turbulence ahead, specifically as a result of rising unemployment and interest rates,” he said.

“This toxic combination will bring more property on to the market as people struggle to meet their repayments, which will apply downward pressure on prices and potentially reverse the recent trend, at least for a time,” he added.

‘Accidental landlords’

Another factor that might depress house prices again would be if “accidental landlords” now decided to sell their homes instead of letting them to tenants, the Nationwide said.

Stock Shortage Hits Rents

Homes 24 Eastern Daily Press 30 September 2009

” A shortage of properties available to let is starting to push up rent levels -thats the message from Simon arnes divisional manager of William H Brown.

Just as a shortage of property for sale is starting to push up average prices across the country, a similar scenario is beginning to emerge in the rental market where average rents have risen over the past few months, he stated”

Property Still Out of Reach for Buyers

Eastern Daily Press 21st September 2009

“Homes across our region are still beyond the reach of many first -time buyers despite a steep drop in prices from the boom years.

A new report from the National Housing Federation (NHF) which represents 1,300 housing associations , paints a bleak picture of low incomes, poor job security, more repossessions and the continuing mortgage cruch keeping the housing market unaffordable and unsustainable…. The report says that despite the market downturn, house prices last year in the East of England still cost about 11 times the average incomes.”